Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$20.9K
444 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 126 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $335.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs34 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$693+32 new NO$6.5K
$77 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.5K is directional: YES $99·NO $3.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$99
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-35.3%)
Whales
7
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥇
Entry 5¢·1,121.7 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $54 · WR 62.6%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven🥈
Entry 5¢·500 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $23 · WR 69.9%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 8¢·179 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $15 · WR 75.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·56 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 87.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 7¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.5%
S
sweetj
Entry 1¢·120 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 74.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+21.7%)
Whales
34
X
XAE12Archangel🥇
Entry 96¢·3,394.4 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $3.3K · WR 77.5%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 99¢·966.6 shares
Invested
$956
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $956 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 99¢·569.2 shares
Invested
$565
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $565 · WR 72.0%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 84¢·442 shares
Invested
$371
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $371 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98¢·229.2 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $224 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 96¢·170 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $164 · WR 88.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·155 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $153 · WR 89.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 99¢·151.8 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $150 · WR 79.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·148 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $147 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·118.2 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $117 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 34
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 483ms