Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$4.3K
164 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 71 traders · 1 on both sides
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $114.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$82+17 new NO$1.0K
$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$9 of $562 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $80·NO $472YES Team
Total Invested
$85
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$79(-93.5%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 8¢·712.8 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$59
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $59 · WR 72.1%
L
legioncre🥈
Entry 6¢·285.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 58.8%
T
takertime🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 65.7%
S
stylishtrade
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 67.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 8¢·21.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$142(+10.0%)
Whales
15
M
miiland🥇
Entry 92¢·413 shares
Invested
$382
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $382 · WR 55.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 91¢·387.1 shares
Invested
$354
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $354 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 91¢·155.7 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $141 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 77¢·122.9 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $94 · WR 88.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 100¢·93.7 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $93 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 99¢·91.1 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $90 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 82¢·80.7 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $66 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $60 · WR 86.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 77¢·54 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $41 · WR 87.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 86.1%
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