Politics14 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$639
74 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 32 traders
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-3.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
79.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$54(+91.7%)
Whales
7
G
Giant-Upper-Seat🥇
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $14 · WR 80.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.6%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 81.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 79.6%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 85.5%
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