Politics14 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$3.7K
202 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 67 traders
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$177+12 new NO$625
$148 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $0·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$3
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-39.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$152
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$56(+37.2%)
Whales
9
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 52¢·106.7 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $55 · WR 79.6%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant🥈
Entry 80¢·27 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $22 · WR 78.7%
7
0x701440e5...🥉
Entry 66¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $17 · WR 86.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $14 · WR 85.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 66.7%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 80.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 82¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
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