Politics14 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 55% or more?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$751
82 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 31 traders
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+156.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$103
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$90(+88.1%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·65.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $33 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $30 · WR 88.7%
D
Deserted-Surroundings🥉
Entry 50¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $11 · WR 78.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.6%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 85.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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