Politics14 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$765
87 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 36 traders
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+9.3%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$129
Avg Win Rate
80.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$78(+60.8%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 52¢·98.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $51 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $20 · WR 89.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 66.7%
C
Chubby-Sideburns-Appetizer
Entry 50¢·27 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
80.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $14 · WR 80.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 92¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $9 · WR 88.7%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 81.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 79.6%
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