Politics14 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$3.3K
208 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 62 traders
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$28+7 new NO$116
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12 is directional: YES $12·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+0.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$79
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+30.8%)
Whales
7
B
Bare-Earring🥇
Entry 78¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 82.7%
R
Roasted-Skyscraper-Imagination🥈
Entry 80¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $17 · WR 71.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 66.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 86.1%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 82.8%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 58¢·6 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 68.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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