Politics14 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$5.5K
292 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 76 traders
IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $18.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$48+7 new NO$107
$67 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $35 is directional: YES $6·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-22.1%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$102
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+36.3%)
Whales
6
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 50¢·65.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $33 · WR 79.6%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 77¢·36.9 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 65.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 85.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 86.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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