Politics157 days left

Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

93¢

93% implied

NO Price

7¢

7% implied

Volume

$10.0K

352 trades

Smart Whales

of 123 traders

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

49 MARKETS · $723.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

Bernard Cazeneuve+7¢4¢

$13.6K1/8

Bruno Retailleau

28¢+24¢$22.8K11/10

Bruno Retailleau+24¢28¢

Christine Lagarde−12¢12¢

$1.8K0/4

Clémentine Autain

2¢−2¢$2.9K0/2

Clémentine Autain−2¢2¢

Dominique de Villepin

35¢−2¢$26.3K5/10

Dominique de Villepin−2¢35¢

$26.3K5/10

Fabien Roussel

82¢−15¢$7.6K6/3

Fabien Roussel−15¢82¢

$7.6K6/3

François Asselineau

24¢+6¢$19.3K3/7

François Asselineau+6¢24¢

$19.3K3/7

François Bayrou

4¢+10¢$5.5K1/6

François Bayrou+10¢4¢

$5.5K1/6

François Hollande

26¢+31¢$48.7K25/19

François Hollande+31¢26¢

$48.7K25/19

François Ruffin

13¢−5¢$4.1K1/11

François Ruffin−5¢13¢

Gérald Darmanin+16¢4¢

Jean-Luc Mélenchon−17¢97¢

$34.2K12/3

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

4¢−4¢$4.6K0/4

Jean-Michel Fauvergue−4¢4¢

$4.6K0/4

Jordan Bardella

7¢+47¢$35.1K7/6

Jordan Bardella+47¢7¢

Karim Bouamrane+30¢3¢

$11.5K3/6

Laurent Wauquiez

3¢+14¢$21.7K2/10

Laurent Wauquiez+14¢3¢

Marine Tondelier+3¢24¢

Matthieu Pigasse+35¢1¢

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

5¢+35¢$11.7K4/6

Michel-Edouard Leclerc+35¢5¢

Nathalie Arthaud←+7¢93¢

$10.0K6/0

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

62¢−29¢$3.7K3/6

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan−29¢62¢

Philippe de Villiers−5¢5¢

$4.6K0/5

Raphaël Glucksmann

84¢−15¢$33.4K20/9

Raphaël Glucksmann−15¢84¢

Sébastien Lecornu+21¢4¢

Valérie Pécresse+48¢2¢

$1.5K1/1

Xavier Bertrand

11¢+34¢$16.8K5/6

Xavier Bertrand+34¢11¢

$16.8K5/6

Yaël Braun-Pivet

5¢+9¢$1.9K1/6

Yaël Braun-Pivet+9¢5¢

$1.9K1/6

Édouard Philippe

53¢+2¢$27.8K11/9

Édouard Philippe+2¢53¢

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Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs0 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $656 is directional: YES $656·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$656

Avg Win Rate

65.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$130(+19.9%)

Whales

FrozenParasite🥇

Entry 74¢·527.9 shares

+$96INV $393 · WR 62.4%

NoDoubtD🥈

Entry 73¢·145.6 shares

+$29INV $106 · WR 76.5%

+$3INV $89 · WR 63.0%

0x9d0a3375...

Entry 94¢·32.3 shares

$-0INV $30 · WR 70.6%

Cassandra-Unchained

Entry 84¢·23.8 shares

+$2INV $20 · WR 80.3%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 86¢·20.4 shares

+$1INV $18 · WR 68.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

No smart whales on NO

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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