Geopolitics80 days left
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$473.8K
5,654 trades
Smart Whales
150
of 1,291 traders
Iran leader end of 2026?
40 MARKETS · $39.95M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
55 YESvs95 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $50 is directional: YES $48·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$15.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.1K(-51.9%)
Whales
55
C
cigar-hub🥇hedged
Entry 97¢·1,796 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1743
$-1743INV $1.7K · WR 72.0%
N
nation235🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·1,700 shares·also $46 on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-1653
$-1653INV $1.7K · WR 72.4%
C
chalk63🥉hedged
Entry 97¢·1,623 shares·also $47 on NO
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-1577
$-1577INV $1.6K · WR 85.2%
P
predicths17hedged
Entry 98¢·1,559 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-1530
$-1530INV $1.5K · WR 76.9%
N
nutGloryhedged
Entry 98¢·1,343 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-1318
$-1318INV $1.3K · WR 86.4%
M
marketqw34hedged
Entry 3¢·1,859 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $55 · WR 76.0%
S
Screenfm74hedged
Entry 2¢·2,349 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$52
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $52 · WR 73.9%
E
entire366hedged
Entry 3¢·2,018 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$51
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $51 · WR 70.4%
S
symptomPermithedged
Entry 3¢·1,690 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $49 · WR 65.2%
E
Eatpraylove
Entry 1¢·5,430.2 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $39 · WR 72.8%
Showing top 10 of 55
NO Team
Total Invested
$26.2K
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$22.4K(+85.7%)
Whales
95
S
Screenfm74🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·2,349 shares·also $52 on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $2.3K · WR 73.9%
E
entire366🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·2,018 shares·also $51 on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $2.0K · WR 70.4%
M
marketqw34🥉hedged
Entry 97¢·1,859 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $1.8K · WR 76.0%
S
symptomPermithedged
Entry 97¢·1,690 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $1.6K · WR 65.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 39¢·3,345 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2042
+$2042INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
C
conductcc68hedged
Entry 98¢·1,296 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $1.3K · WR 77.8%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 26¢·4,584.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3391
+$3391INV $1.2K · WR 85.8%
C
cigar-hubhedged
Entry 3¢·1,796 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$49
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1744
+$1744INV $49 · WR 72.0%
C
chalk63hedged
Entry 3¢·1,623 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$1574
+$1574INV $47 · WR 85.2%
N
nation235hedged
Entry 3¢·1,700 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$1652
+$1652INV $46 · WR 72.4%
Showing top 10 of 95
Smart Whale Trades
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