LR1 · Polymarket wallet 0xad28…1601

Wallet snapshot

LR1 has made 11,410 trades on Polymarket across 1,050 markets, $1.3M in volume. Most of it is in politics (62%) and geopolitics (14%). On 901 resolved markets the win rate is 62.8%, lifetime P&L +$16K. It holds 187 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $3,369 · 49¢ → 77¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2,483 · 13¢ → 65¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $1,629 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Yes · $1,477 · 77¢ → 83¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $1,432 · 45¢ → 73¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1,086 · 90¢ → 91¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $1,014 · 77¢ → 85¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No · $705 · 62¢ → 71¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $641 · 71¢ → 64¢
• Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No · $478 · 94¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · +$6 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · -$110 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · +$145 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $0 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$106 · Oct 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.