Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ÂșC and 1.45ÂșC in August 2026?
YES Price
0Âą
0% implied
NO Price
100Âą
100% implied
Volume
$9.3K
379 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 96 traders
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ÂșC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
7 MARKETS · $10.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.42ÂșC and 1.45ÂșC in August 2026â
0Âą+19Âą$9.3K5/22by between 1.42ÂșC and 1.45ÂșC in August 2026â+19Âą0Âą
$9.3K5/22
by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026
5Âąâ5Âą$1.1K0/2by less than 1.30ÂșC in October 2026â5Âą5Âą
$1.1K0/2
by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026
25Âąâ25Âą$1640/1by between 1.30ÂșC and 1.34ÂșC in October 2026â25Âą25Âą
$1640/1
by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026
23Âąâ$00/0by between 1.35ÂșC and 1.39ÂșC in October 2026â23Âą
$00/0
by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026
44Âąâ$950/0by between 1.40ÂșC and 1.44ÂșC in October 2026â44Âą
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs22 NO
19%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h â no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides â all $806 is directional: YES $806·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$863
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$855(-99.0%)
Whales
5
F
flawfenceâProvenđ„
Entry 23¹·2,961.1 shares
Invested
$678
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-678
$-678INV $678 · WR 55.4%
C
Corny-Hyphenationđ„
Entry 24¹·525.8 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $129 · WR 67.4%
Z
Zaratustrađ„
Entry 29¹·137 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 60.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 28¹·30 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 4 of 5
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+85.9%)
Whales
22
R
russell110320đ„
Entry 48¹·4,660.3 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$2426
+$2426INV $2.2K · WR 67.5%
F
Famous-Moodyđ„
Entry 80¹·425 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $339 · WR 66.5%
D
donthackmeđ„
Entry 70¹·350.2 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $245 · WR 87.7%
S
Started-with-20-USDâProven
Entry 50¹·252 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $126 · WR 59.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 54¹·205.1 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $111 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 64¹·159.4 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $102 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 56¹·162.6 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $91 · WR 86.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 82¹·75 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $61 · WR 85.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¹·69.3 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $58 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 76¹·70 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $53 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 22
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