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Geopolitics258 days left

Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$45.9K
2,191 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 174 traders

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

6 MARKETS · $167.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

13 YESvs37 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$21+13 new NO$1.0K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $64 is directional: YES $19·NO $45
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.5K(-91.8%)
Whales
13
K
kupoz🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·3,070.1 shares·also $150 on NO
$-2409INV $2.4K · WR 84.7%
M
michi1🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·1,124.9 shares·also $176 on NO
$-1027INV $1.0K · WR 66.8%
P
polyweatheryuan🥉
Entry 22¢·146.5 shares
$-31INV $33 · WR 55.7%
B
berlinskies
Entry 6¢·254.2 shares
$-13INV $15 · WR 58.8%
T
Touge
Entry 3¢·447.9 shares
$-8INV $12 · WR 69.9%
C
ccwwcc
Entry 5¢·200 shares
+$11INV $10 · WR 67.5%
W
windy-weather
Entry 5¢·144.3 shares
+$7INV $8 · WR 55.0%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 10¢·11.1 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.6%
Showing top 8 of 13

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