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Economics64 days left

Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$88.7K
1,541 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 195 traders

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

5 MARKETS · $1.10M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

13 YESvs54 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$4+14 new NO$3.0K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $33
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-82.5%)
Whales
13
H
HolyMoses7Proven🥇
Entry 6¢·20,234 shares
$-1095INV $1.1K · WR 77.6%
G
GingerMcKenna🥈
Entry 10¢·1,012.8 shares
$-105INV $106 · WR 84.5%
A
AlexiosV🥉
Entry 1¢·7,043.3 shares
$-50INV $61 · WR 82.6%
T
Tee1000
Entry 13¢·150.2 shares
$-20INV $20 · WR 81.9%
B
BeneGesseritVoiceProven
Entry 2¢·1,000 shares
$-13INV $15 · WR 72.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 16¢·75.2 shares
$-12INV $12 · WR 87.7%
S
Sardonic-CueProven
Entry 1¢·1,091.7 shares
$-4INV $6 · WR 79.1%
T
Touge
Entry 1¢·250.5 shares
$-3INV $3 · WR 69.2%
K
kaladin
Entry 1¢·142.9 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 62.9%
Q
qcp2
Entry 1¢·159.8 shares
$-2INV $2 · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 22% YES: 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026