GeopoliticsResolved
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$525.0K
5,337 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 561 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs44 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 32 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$93 of $17.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $8.8K·NO $8.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$9.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$9.7K(-99.2%)
Whales
26
D
Doomsday77🥇
Entry 98¢·7,287.9 shares
Invested
$7.1K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-7111
$-7111INV $7.1K · WR 65.0%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥈
Entry 45¢·3,583 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-1612
$-1612INV $1.6K · WR 55.0%
R
rabbit007🥉hedged
Entry 283¢·100.6 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$285
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $285 · WR 61.2%
L
LessIsMore6688hedged
Entry 122¢·188 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$229
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-229
$-229INV $229 · WR 73.2%
T
tja◆Proven
Entry 99¢·172.8 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $171 · WR 74.1%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 6¢·2,000.1 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $124 · WR 70.5%
M
Mithrandir.hedged
Entry 76¢·142.3 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$108
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $108 · WR 69.8%
S
SusanWarrenHRhedged
Entry 97¢·50 shares·also $740 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $49 · WR 67.5%
V
VolynMolfarhedged
Entry 97¢·14.3 shares·also $210 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 66.0%
Q
qcp11◆Proven
Entry 99¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.5K
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+15.4%)
Whales
44
D
Dar1us🥇
Entry 85¢·6,101.9 shares
Invested
$5.2K
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$904
+$904INV $5.2K · WR 70.8%
T
third-eye🥈
Entry 145¢·2,685.5 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-1196
$-1196INV $3.9K · WR 77.4%
L
LJa7io23MCv954j🥉
Entry 92¢·4,054.6 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$309
+$309INV $3.7K · WR 70.0%
S
simpton
Entry 92¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $1.4K · WR 57.0%
N
nukecoin-
Entry 87¢·1,386.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $1.2K · WR 74.0%
L
Lypongu
Entry 97¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$970
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $970 · WR 75.0%
S
Spherical-Doc
Entry 25¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$759
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$2241
+$2241INV $759 · WR 69.5%
S
SusanWarrenHRhedged
Entry 96¢·771.8 shares·also $49 on YES
Invested
$740
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $740 · WR 67.5%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 98¢·529.9 shares
Invested
$520
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $520 · WR 90.9%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 99¢·300 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $298 · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 44
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