.perseverance · Polymarket wallet 0x1a28…035b

Wallet snapshot

.perseverance has made 2,946 trades on Polymarket across 1,491 markets, $18K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (10%) and sports (8%). On 1,488 resolved markets the win rate is 81.7%, lifetime P&L +$258. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Sep 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No · $12 · 81¢ → 98¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes · $12 · 81¢ → 96¢
• Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes · $11 · 87¢ → 98¢
• Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Yes · $3 · 71¢ → 73¢

Latest closed positions

• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$5 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election?No · +$2 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 19, 2026
• Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No · +$1 · Sep 15, 2026
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 12, 2026
• Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?Yes · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" or "Bitcoin" during RNC Convention?No · +$1 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his announcement?No · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of August 31 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.