Lypongu · Polymarket wallet 0xec57…6b28

Wallet snapshot

Lypongu has made 213 trades on Polymarket across 30 markets, $59K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and sports (23%). On 28 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L -$457. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?". Last trade: Sep 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes · $47 · 70¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No · -$1 · Sep 1, 2026
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No · +$20 · Aug 29, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes · +$2 · Aug 29, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No · -$27 · Aug 25, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes · +$32 · Aug 18, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No · +$200 · Aug 16, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes · +$70 · Aug 13, 2026
• Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?No · +$25 · Aug 11, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No · +$18 · Aug 8, 2026
• Squid FDV above $300M one day after launchNo · +$62 · Aug 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.