GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$502.0K
7,618 trades
Smart Whales
414
of 2,643 traders · 5 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

156 YESvs263 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 91 YES vs 191 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$15 of $21.4K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $701·NO $20.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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