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GeopoliticsResolved2 days left

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$235.8K
826 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 264 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

3 MARKETS · $13.01M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

30 YESvs31 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+151 new YES$10.2K+138 new NO$185.4K
$13.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 68 buyers — left out of momentum
40 smart whales52 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$238 of $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.1K·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-96.1%)
Whales
30
M
morito181🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·726.8 shares·also $620 on NO
$-640INV $640 · WR 74.0%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈hedged
Entry 75¢·669.9 shares·also $119 on NO
$-502INV $502 · WR 59.3%
S
SeniorLaghetto🥉hedged
Entry 9¢·5,704.3 shares·also $6.5K on NO
$-494INV $494 · WR 68.8%
B
BigScience
Entry 83¢·521.4 shares
$-431INV $432 · WR 58.4%
G
Gl4d
Entry 5¢·1,766 shares
$-88INV $88 · WR 56.4%
A
Arman2hedged
Entry 8¢·575.2 shares·also $339 on NO
$-46INV $46 · WR 59.6%
C
classifiedProven
Entry 0¢·8,799 shares
$-41INV $41 · WR 81.6%
M
M888Proven
Entry 8¢·510.8 shares
$-41INV $41 · WR 72.2%
R
RememberAmalekhedged
Entry 4¢·771 shares·also $703 on NO
$-29INV $29 · WR 64.3%
S
sippingdrank
Entry 7¢·300 shares
$-20INV $20 · WR 66.3%
Showing top 10 of 30

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 47% YES: US x Iran ceasefire continues through…