Geopolitics80 days left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$252.4K
3,552 trades
Smart Whales
93
of 618 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

48 YESvs47 NO
51%50%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 33 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$29 of $31.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $1.5K·NO $30.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 51% YES: Israel withdraws from Lebanon…