donaldmonkey · Polymarket wallet 0x0a78…e454

Wallet snapshot

donaldmonkey has made 515 trades on Polymarket across 203 markets, $34K in volume. Most of it is in crypto (30%) and geopolitics (17%). On 196 resolved markets the win rate is 88.3%, lifetime P&L +$351. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Oct 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $533 · 50¢ → 52¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $500 · 50¢ → 48¢
• Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?No · $60 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October?No · $48 · 99¢ → 96¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $28 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?No · $5 · 100¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?No · +$2 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 2, 2026
• Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Trump out as President by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.