GeopoliticsResolved79 days left

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

100¢

100% implied

NO Price

0¢

0% implied

Volume

$72.1K

1,074 trades

Smart Whales

62

of 407 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

11 MARKETS · $7.59M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

17¢+17¢$209.9K20/38

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

5¢+21¢$359.1K13/37

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+21¢5¢

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

100¢−50¢$4.9K5/5

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−50¢100¢

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

72¢−19¢$15.1K8/7

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−19¢72¢

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

22¢+18¢$5852/3

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+18¢22¢

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

87¢−12¢$2533/1

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−12¢87¢

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—54¢

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←

100¢−31¢$72.1K43/19

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←−31¢100¢

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

95¢−46¢$335.6K51/53

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−46¢95¢

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

7¢+43¢$6.53M258/254

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+43¢7¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

43 YESvs19 NO

69%31%

69% of smart money holding this market is on YES

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$3.3K

Avg Win Rate

87.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$4.4K(+133.6%)

Whales

43

Entry 67¢·1,685.1 shares

+$553INV $1.1K · WR 90.3%

Michael5289🥈

Entry 62¢·1,733.6 shares

+$662INV $1.1K · WR 95.0%

zxdfbdfgngcxvProven🥉

Entry 99¢·505.4 shares

+$4INV $501 · WR 83.3%

Entry 99¢·276.3 shares

+$2INV $274 · WR 65.3%

Entry 77¢·196.2 shares

+$45INV $151 · WR 76.1%

Entry 2¢·1,424.6 shares·also $653 on NO

+$1393INV $31 · WR 74.4%

Entry 91¢·32 shares

+$3INV $29 · WR 64.0%

Entry 26¢·100 shares·also $86 on NO

+$74INV $26 · WR 64.1%

skullyhoofdhedged

Entry 28¢·90.2 shares·also $85 on NO

+$65INV $25 · WR 64.1%

🤺Yoon18nomhedged

Entry 2¢·1,047.8 shares·also $1.0K on NO

+$1026INV $21 · WR 92.1%

Showing top 10 of 43

NO Team

Total Invested

$2.5K

Avg Win Rate

82.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$2.4K(-97.7%)

Whales

19

🤺Yoon18nom🥇hedged

Entry 100¢·1,047.7 shares·also $21 on YES

$-1047INV $1.0K · WR 92.1%

Simon4s🥈hedged

Entry 103¢·637 shares·also $31 on YES

$-653INV $653 · WR 74.4%

gaoshi🥉hedged

Entry 100¢·103 shares·also $1 on YES

$-103INV $103 · WR 78.1%

buttbuttboy3hedged

Entry 99¢·102.3 shares·also $2 on YES

$-101INV $102 · WR 66.8%

notdegenanymor3hedged

Entry 100¢·100 shares·also $0 on YES

$-100INV $100 · WR 90.0%

Entry 99¢·100 shares·also $1 on YES

$-99INV $99 · WR 83.6%

Entry 84¢·102.4 shares·also $26 on YES

$-85INV $86 · WR 64.1%

skullyhoofdhedged

Entry 95¢·90.2 shares·also $25 on YES

$-85INV $85 · WR 64.1%

Entry 100¢·77 shares·also $0 on YES

$-77INV $77 · WR 78.6%

Entry 100¢·46.4 shares·also $0 on YES

$-46INV $46 · WR 80.9%

Showing top 10 of 19

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1089ms