Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$92.5K
1,627 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 339 traders
November 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $94.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs32 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $14 is directional: YES $14·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.5K(-97.8%)
Whales
19
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 37¢·4,248.7 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-1553
$-1553INV $1.6K · WR 67.5%
G
gesicht🥈
Entry 64¢·1,567.7 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-1001
$-1001INV $1.0K · WR 65.9%
L
lmueller🥉
Entry 32¢·1,963.3 shares
Invested
$623
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-623
$-623INV $623 · WR 63.3%
B
balerinacapuchina
Entry 27¢·1,655.4 shares
Invested
$447
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-447
$-447INV $447 · WR 70.5%
R
Ryxon21hedged
Entry 75¢·589.4 shares·also $62 on NO
Invested
$442
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-442
$-442INV $442 · WR 71.3%
R
Rr55hedged
Entry 74¢·466.1 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$345
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-345
$-345INV $345 · WR 73.2%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 16¢·389 shares·also $208 on NO
Invested
$64
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $64 · WR 58.6%
I
IrthBirthhedged
Entry 32¢·80.7 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $26 · WR 57.3%
A
Atreides.
Entry 17¢·80 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 65.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 3¢·400 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.3K(+101.3%)
Whales
32
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 59¢·3,620.5 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1489
+$1489INV $2.1K · WR 85.8%
K
k1tten🥈
Entry 51¢·1,570 shares
Invested
$796
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$774
+$774INV $796 · WR 82.8%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥉
Entry 38¢·1,617.8 shares
Invested
$621
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$997
+$997INV $621 · WR 81.6%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 72¢·586.1 shares
Invested
$424
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$162
+$162INV $424 · WR 87.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 66¢·331.6 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $220 · WR 83.8%
E
EgoVolaehedged
Entry 65¢·320.5 shares·also $64 on YES
Invested
$208
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $208 · WR 58.6%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 94¢·195.7 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $183 · WR 80.8%
N
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses
Entry 86¢·122.7 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $106 · WR 85.8%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 36¢·205.9 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$131
+$131INV $75 · WR 89.0%
R
Ryxon21hedged
Entry 10¢·589.4 shares·also $442 on YES
Invested
$62
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$528
+$528INV $62 · WR 71.3%
Showing top 10 of 32
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 644ms