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Geopolitics4 days left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$9.2K
97 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 67 traders

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

3 MARKETS · $690.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+35 new YES$538+46 new NO$9.1K
$570 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $932 is directional: YES $102·NO $830
YES Team
Total Invested
$106
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+4.7%)
Whales
4
R
rainbowlilies🥇
Entry 2¢·3,500 shares
+$18INV $70 · WR 83.9%
E
Eia🥈
Entry 4¢·499.9 shares
$-10INV $22 · WR 61.4%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥉
Entry 3¢·352.4 shares
$-1INV $10 · WR 60.5%
B
bayguyb
Entry 4¢·93.2 shares
$-2INV $3 · WR 58.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 31% YES: US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6