PoliticsResolved
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$3.76M
20,897 trades
Smart Whales
432
of 3,338 traders · 3 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
163 YESvs272 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 37 YES vs 152 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$1.9K+17 new NO$4.9K
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$236 of $186.3K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $8.8K·NO $177.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$118.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$52.9K(-44.6%)
Whales
163
T
Tigerofthehood🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·33,826.1 shares·also $15.5K on NO
Invested
$26.6K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-16924
$-16924INV $26.6K · WR 87.1%
T
tourists🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·25,003.2 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$17.1K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-9954
$-9954INV $17.1K · WR 73.2%
A
Albi5🥉
Entry 64¢·18,181.8 shares
Invested
$11.6K
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-6467
$-6467INV $11.6K · WR 75.0%
A
adonpolihedged
Entry 66¢·16,770.3 shares·also $7.2K on NO
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-6269
$-6269INV $11.0K · WR 84.4%
Y
YoshiYamamotohedged
Entry 66¢·13,119.9 shares·also $4.9K on NO
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-4964
$-4964INV $8.7K · WR 69.3%
7
0x7177a7f5...hedged
Entry 62¢·13,572 shares·also $7.5K on NO
Invested
$8.4K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-4564
$-4564INV $8.4K · WR 67.6%
T
thechainsmokershedged
Entry 60¢·8,173.2 shares·also $2.8K on NO
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-2538
$-2538INV $4.9K · WR 68.9%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 43¢·7,500 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-1088
$-1088INV $3.2K · WR 61.3%
B
bernardbulletin
Entry 28¢·7,100.4 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $2.0K · WR 68.9%
M
macrosteaks
Entry 28¢·4,112.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $1.2K · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 163
NO Team
Total Invested
$252.2K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$62.1K(+24.6%)
Whales
272
J
jaja5050🥇
Entry 55¢·43,073 shares
Invested
$23.5K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$7309
+$7309INV $23.5K · WR 68.2%
T
Tigerofthehood🥈hedged
Entry 46¢·33,826.1 shares·also $26.6K on YES
Invested
$15.5K
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$8641
+$8641INV $15.5K · WR 87.1%
K
Kevindoto🥉
Entry 66¢·23,508.5 shares
Invested
$15.5K
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1284
+$1284INV $15.5K · WR 84.3%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 71¢·19,241.5 shares
Invested
$13.7K
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $13.7K · WR 57.3%
P
Parz1vaI
Entry 69¢·15,399.6 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$345
+$345INV $10.7K · WR 71.4%
P
Polyticks
Entry 44¢·23,736.3 shares
Invested
$10.5K
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$6456
+$6456INV $10.5K · WR 56.6%
7
0x7177a7f5...hedged
Entry 35¢·21,440 shares·also $8.4K on YES
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$7824
+$7824INV $7.5K · WR 67.6%
S
slamjampeter
Entry 92¢·8,042.1 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-1684
$-1684INV $7.4K · WR 61.8%
A
adonpolihedged
Entry 43¢·16,770.4 shares·also $11.0K on YES
Invested
$7.2K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$4771
+$4771INV $7.2K · WR 84.4%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 67¢·10,190.3 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$425
+$425INV $6.9K · WR 90.5%
Showing top 10 of 272
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