Politics3 days left
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$146.0K
2,110 trades
Smart Whales
93
of 513 traders · 1 on both sides
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
2 MARKETS · $315.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs75 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 24 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$99+12 new NO$1.4K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $32.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.9K·NO $30.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-63.5%)
Whales
19
C
carkiller530🥇
Entry 26¢·2,864.6 shares
Invested
$751
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-681
$-681INV $751 · WR 85.0%
I
ImJustKen🥈
Entry 8¢·8,065.8 shares
Invested
$657
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-460
$-460INV $657 · WR 61.2%
M
M888🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·1,040.3 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$258
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-233
$-233INV $258 · WR 72.2%
V
Valen9
Entry 4¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $175 · WR 61.2%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven
Entry 5¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $100 · WR 70.1%
L
Liquidifier
Entry 24¢·333 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $80 · WR 56.5%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 25¢·190.9 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $47 · WR 69.4%
H
Hjklm
Entry 4¢·630.3 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $27 · WR 87.5%
N
nicoco89
Entry 13¢·158.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $20 · WR 62.6%
T
trampec◆Proven
Entry 3¢·312 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 64.0%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$52.3K
Avg Win Rate
87.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.1K(+23.1%)
Whales
75
S
SAPolitcsSeer🥇
Entry 95¢·20,282.1 shares
Invested
$19.2K
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$598
+$598INV $19.2K · WR 92.1%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 61¢·8,668.1 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3193
+$3193INV $5.3K · WR 87.6%
B
BuddhaYTorrance🥉
Entry 97¢·5,010.2 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
94.3%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $4.8K · WR 94.3%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 64¢·4,901.1 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1647
+$1647INV $3.1K · WR 88.1%
M
MrNoItAll
Entry 96¢·2,876 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $2.8K · WR 89.3%
K
korda77
Entry 64¢·3,345.6 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$1137
+$1137INV $2.1K · WR 85.3%
M
merod
Entry 53¢·3,359.3 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$1507
+$1507INV $1.8K · WR 84.4%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 63¢·1,658.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$570
+$570INV $1.0K · WR 60.2%
M
M888hedged
Entry 98¢·1,040.2 shares·also $258 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $1.0K · WR 72.2%
M
Magician5342
Entry 85¢·1,008.1 shares
Invested
$857
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $857 · WR 89.7%
Showing top 10 of 75
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