Sports66 days left

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

2¢

2% implied

NO Price

98¢

98% implied

Volume

$2.3K

73 trades

Smart Whales

15

of 39 traders · 1 on both sides

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

30 MARKETS · $55.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

0¢+14¢$1.5K1/6

Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+14¢0¢

Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

4¢+4¢$2.7K1/12

Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢4¢

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

4¢+26¢$4.4K3/7

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢4¢

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

66¢−41¢$23.3K4/12

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−41¢66¢

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

7¢−7¢$5.1K0/9

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−7¢7¢

Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

10¢+3¢$4.1K2/14

Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+3¢10¢

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←

2¢−2¢$2.3K0/9

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←−2¢2¢

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

7¢+4¢$4.2K1/8

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢7¢

Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

1¢+12¢$1.7K1/7

Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+12¢1¢

Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

1¢+82¢$1825/1

Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+82¢1¢

Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

10¢+26¢$4.1K4/7

Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢10¢

Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢

Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+48¢2¢

Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+49¢1¢

Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

0¢+100¢$852/0

Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢

Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

0¢+100¢$852/0

Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢

Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢

Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+66¢1¢

Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Ferran Torres finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Ferran Torres finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢

Will Dayot Upamecano finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Dayot Upamecano finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+66¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs14 NO

13%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%

+6 new YES$14+15 new NO$1.8K

0 smart whales12 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$9 of $88 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $79

YES Team

Total Invested

$5

Avg Win Rate

72.7%

Aggregate P&L

-$4(-82.3%)

Whales

2

balthazar🥇hedged

Entry 2¢·217.2 shares·also $83 on NO

$-4INV $4 · WR 72.0%

fourcoin15m🥈

Entry 2¢·12.8 shares

$-0INV $0 · WR 84.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.7K

Avg Win Rate

84.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$129(+7.5%)

Whales

14

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 99¢·408.5 shares

$-4INV $405 · WR 85.9%

Entry 67¢·449.9 shares

+$142INV $300 · WR 85.8%

Entry 99¢·217.3 shares

$-2INV $216 · WR 79.3%

Entry 100¢·165 shares

$-2INV $165 · WR 88.8%

Entry 100¢·135 shares

$-2INV $135 · WR 88.6%

Entry 100¢·93.6 shares

$-1INV $93 · WR 87.6%

Entry 100¢·88 shares

$-1INV $88 · WR 89.2%

balthazarhedged

Entry 100¢·83.4 shares·also $4 on YES

$-0INV $83 · WR 72.0%

Entry 100¢·75 shares

$-1INV $75 · WR 86.5%

Entry 95¢·57.8 shares

+$2INV $55 · WR 86.1%

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