YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.7K
87 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 43 traders · 1 on both sides
Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place
30 MARKETS · $55.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+14¢$1.5K1/6Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+14¢0¢
$1.5K1/6
Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
4¢+4¢$2.7K1/12Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←+4¢4¢
$2.7K1/12
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
4¢+26¢$4.4K3/7Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢4¢
$4.4K3/7
Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
66¢−41¢$23.3K4/12Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−41¢66¢
$23.3K4/12
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢−7¢$5.1K0/9Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−7¢7¢
$5.1K0/9
Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
10¢+3¢$4.1K2/14Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+3¢10¢
$4.1K2/14
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢−2¢$2.3K0/9Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−2¢2¢
$2.3K0/9
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢+4¢$4.2K1/8Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢7¢
$4.2K1/8
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+12¢$1.7K1/7Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+12¢1¢
$1.7K1/7
Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+82¢$1825/1Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+82¢1¢
$1825/1
Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
10¢+26¢$4.1K4/7Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢10¢
$4.1K4/7
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+50¢$982/2Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢
$982/2
Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢+48¢$502/2Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+48¢2¢
$502/2
Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+49¢$502/2Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+49¢1¢
$502/2
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+100¢$852/0Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢
$852/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$592/1Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$592/1
Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+100¢$852/0Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢
$852/0
Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+99¢$792/0Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢
$792/0
Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+66¢$502/1Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+66¢1¢
$502/1
Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$592/1Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$592/1
Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$902/1Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$902/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs15 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%
+11 new YES$144+15 new NO$1.4K
1 smart whale12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $93 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5·NO $82YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+26.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+0.4%)
Whales
15
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 99¢·408.5 shares
Invested
$403
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $403 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 97¢·224.2 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $218 · WR 79.3%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 98¢·178 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $174 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 98¢·170 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $166 · WR 89.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 73¢·165 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $121 · WR 86.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·102 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $100 · WR 87.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·93.6 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $91 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 96¢·90 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $87 · WR 88.8%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 98¢·80.5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $79 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 97¢·30.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $30 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 15
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