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Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$4.4K

91 trades

Smart Whales

17

of 48 traders

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

30 MARKETS · $55.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

0¢+14¢$1.5K1/6

Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+14¢0¢

Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

4¢+4¢$2.7K1/12

Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢4¢

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←

4¢+26¢$4.4K3/7

Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←+26¢4¢

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

66¢−41¢$23.3K4/12

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−41¢66¢

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

7¢−7¢$5.1K0/9

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−7¢7¢

Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

10¢+3¢$4.1K2/14

Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+3¢10¢

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

2¢−2¢$2.3K0/9

Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−2¢2¢

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

7¢+4¢$4.2K1/8

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢7¢

Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

1¢+12¢$1.7K1/7

Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+12¢1¢

Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

1¢+82¢$1825/1

Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+82¢1¢

Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

10¢+26¢$4.1K4/7

Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢10¢

Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢

Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+48¢2¢

Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+49¢1¢

Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

0¢+100¢$852/0

Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢

Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

0¢+100¢$852/0

Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢

Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢

Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+66¢1¢

Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢

Will Ferran Torres finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Ferran Torres finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢

Will Dayot Upamecano finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or

Will Dayot Upamecano finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+66¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs14 NO

18%82%

82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges

+13 new YES$232+20 new NO$1.4K

$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

0 smart whales13 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $1

YES Team

Total Invested

$5

Avg Win Rate

68.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$4(+87.1%)

Whales

3

Entry 1¢·283.5 shares

+$4INV $4 · WR 63.1%

Entry 2¢·46.6 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 87.6%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 2¢·0.8 shares

+$0INV $0 · WR 86.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.2K

Avg Win Rate

84.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$114(+9.4%)

Whales

14

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 99¢·408.5 shares

$-9INV $402 · WR 85.9%

Entry 68¢·449.8 shares

+$129INV $305 · WR 85.8%

Entry 97¢·124.3 shares

$-1INV $121 · WR 79.3%

Entry 98¢·92 shares

$-2INV $90 · WR 89.2%

Entry 96¢·70 shares

+$0INV $67 · WR 88.0%

Entry 98¢·50 shares

$-1INV $49 · WR 88.6%

Entry 98¢·40 shares

$-1INV $39 · WR 87.6%

Entry 99¢·33 shares

$-1INV $33 · WR 86.5%

Limping-Baggie-Technique

Entry 98¢·30.5 shares

$-1INV $30 · WR 59.8%

Entry 98¢·30 shares

$-1INV $29 · WR 88.8%

Showing top 10 of 14

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