YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$5.1K
125 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 58 traders · 1 on both sides
Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place
30 MARKETS · $55.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+14¢$1.5K1/6Will Harry Kane finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+14¢0¢
$1.5K1/6
Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
4¢+4¢$2.7K1/12Will Lamine Yamal finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢4¢
$2.7K1/12
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
4¢+26¢$4.4K3/7Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢4¢
$4.4K3/7
Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
66¢−41¢$23.3K4/12Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−41¢66¢
$23.3K4/12
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
7¢−7¢$5.1K0/9Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or←−7¢7¢
$5.1K0/9
Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
10¢+3¢$4.1K2/14Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+3¢10¢
$4.1K2/14
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢−2¢$2.3K0/9Will Fabian Ruiz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or−2¢2¢
$2.3K0/9
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢+4¢$4.2K1/8Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+4¢7¢
$4.2K1/8
Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Pau Cubarsi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+12¢$1.7K1/7Will Erling Haaland finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+12¢1¢
$1.7K1/7
Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+82¢$1825/1Will Jude Bellingham finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+82¢1¢
$1825/1
Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
10¢+26¢$4.1K4/7Will Michael Olise finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+26¢10¢
$4.1K4/7
Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+50¢$982/2Will Vinícius Júnior finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+50¢0¢
$982/2
Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢+48¢$502/2Will Declan Rice finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+48¢2¢
$502/2
Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+49¢$502/2Will Vitinha finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+49¢1¢
$502/2
Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Achraf Hakimi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Bruno Fernandes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+100¢$852/0Will Luis Diaz finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢
$852/0
Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$592/1Will Lautaro Martinez finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$592/1
Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Marc Cucurella finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Gabriel Magalhães finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+100¢$852/0Will Sadio Mané finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+100¢0¢
$852/0
Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+99¢$792/0Will Marquinhos finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢
$792/0
Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will Nuno Mendes finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$852/1Will João Neves finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$852/1
Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+66¢$502/1Will Willian Pacho finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+66¢1¢
$502/1
Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$592/1Will Julián Quiñones finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$592/1
Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢+67¢$902/1Will William Saliba finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or+67¢0¢
$902/1
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs15 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+18 new YES$300+21 new NO$2.1K
$283 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $47 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $15·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+11.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-2.9%)
Whales
15
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 96¢·408.8 shares
Invested
$392
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $392 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 96¢·155 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $149 · WR 89.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 96¢·145 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $139 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 96¢·130.1 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $125 · WR 79.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 97¢·93.6 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $91 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 95¢·88.8 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $84 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 95¢·77 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $73 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 97¢·60 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $58 · WR 86.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 93¢·60 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $56 · WR 88.6%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 96¢·31.1 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 15
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