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Sports66 days left

Will Lionel Messi finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$4.1K
165 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 93 traders

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place

30 MARKETS · $55.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs20 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+39 new YES$593+33 new NO$2.7K
$242 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $94 is directional: YES $63·NO $31
YES Team
Total Invested
$65
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+57.4%)
Whales
5
T
Tremirorot🥇
Entry 9¢·500 shares
+$18INV $45 · WR 73.2%
T
tescat🥈
Entry 6¢·153.1 shares
+$11INV $8 · WR 63.1%
S
sciuboi🥉
Entry 13¢·60 shares
$-0INV $8 · WR 72.2%
G
GabrielMessi
Entry 15¢·15 shares
$-1INV $2 · WR 69.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 2¢·93.5 shares
+$10INV $2 · WR 87.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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