🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics90 days left

Erdoğan out by end of 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$643.4K
15,815 trades
Smart Whales
211
of 1,563 traders · 8 on both sides

Erdoğan out by end of 2026?

2 MARKETS · $643.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

86 YESvs133 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 86 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$24
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 35% of the money is not a bet
$47.9K of $137.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $238 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $88.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$42.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$35.5K(-83.6%)
Whales
86
X
x0000🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·47,624.2 shares·also $23.8K on NO
$-21669INV $23.8K · WR 75.4%
S
selador🥈
Entry 97¢·5,625.7 shares
$-5226INV $5.5K · WR 91.7%
A
archaic🥉hedged
Entry 123¢·3,790 shares·also $226 on NO
$-4507INV $4.7K · WR 87.2%
-
-nothingburger-hedged
Entry 81¢·2,728.2 shares·also $426 on NO
$-2081INV $2.2K · WR 78.0%
T
Ternary
Entry 20¢·6,123.4 shares
$-962INV $1.2K · WR 90.0%
C
cashsquaredhedged
Entry 103¢·787.2 shares·also $118 on NO
$-774INV $809 · WR 79.1%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 17¢·701.8 shares·also $182 on NO
$-87INV $119 · WR 69.4%
S
southgirlboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-55INV $60 · WR 78.8%
K
Kikimukoboth sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
$-46INV $50 · WR 59.3%
E
Erics1nyderboth sides
Entry 50¢·42 shares·also $21 on NO
$-19INV $21 · WR 57.6%
Showing top 10 of 86

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 255ms
Smart money 39% YES: Erdoğan out by end of 2026