x0000 · Polymarket wallet 0x2616…8d3c

Wallet snapshot

x0000 has made 4,184 trades on Polymarket across 417 markets, $2.9M in volume. Most of it is in crypto (23%) and politics (23%). On 403 resolved markets the win rate is 75.4%, lifetime P&L +$14K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Erdoğan out by end of 2026?". Last trade: Aug 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Erdoğan out by end of 2026?No · $46K · 50¢ → 96¢
• Erdoğan out by end of 2026?Yes · $1,738 · 50¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No · +$135 · Aug 31, 2026
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes · -$778 · Aug 30, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No · +$995 · Aug 15, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No · +$188 · Aug 14, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes · -$62 · Jul 31, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No · +$368 · Jul 30, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$1,290 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No · $0 · Jul 29, 2026
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No · +$195 · Jul 26, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No · +$117 · Jul 18, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.