taincap · Polymarket wallet 0x0a41…492a

Wallet snapshot

taincap has made 148 trades on Polymarket across 34 markets, $186K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (50%) and politics (32%). On 31 resolved markets the win rate is 87.1%, lifetime P&L +$14K. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Jun 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $6,820 · 84¢ → 98¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No · $4,514 · 86¢ → 97¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $2,318 · 75¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No · +$375 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$267 · Sep 23, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No · +$295 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No · +$221 · Jun 10, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes · +$7,965 · May 18, 2026
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes · +$200 · May 18, 2026
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No · +$4,196 · May 18, 2026
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No · +$696 · Apr 13, 2026
• Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes · +$1,807 · Apr 13, 2026
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No · +$2,003 · Apr 1, 2026

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