Geopolitics2 days left

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?

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YES Price

35¢

35% implied

NO Price

65¢

65% implied

Volume

$4.8K

104 trades

Smart Whales

8

of 57 traders

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?

6 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25

33¢+17¢$2.3K4/4

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢33¢

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25←

35¢−35¢$4.8K0/8

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25←−35¢35¢

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25

23¢+10¢$2.0K2/4

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+10¢23¢

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25

3¢+17¢$1.4K1/4

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢3¢

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25

3¢−3¢$1.8K0/11

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25−3¢3¢

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25

8¢+42¢$6.9K5/5

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+42¢8¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs7 NO

13%88%

88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%

+3 new YES$209+6 new NO$239

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $65 is directional: YES $39·NO $26

YES Team

Total Invested

$39

Avg Win Rate

74.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-4.0%)

Whales

1

Entry 37¢·106 shares

$-2INV $39 · WR 74.5%

NO Team

Total Invested

$173

Avg Win Rate

77.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$426(+246.8%)

Whales

7

glm4.1.fund🥇

Entry 21¢·310 shares

+$135INV $67 · WR 85.9%

Entry 18¢·200 shares

+$95INV $35 · WR 72.1%

Entry 22¢·137.8 shares

+$59INV $31 · WR 79.6%

Entry 11¢·207 shares

+$110INV $24 · WR 55.9%

Entry 23¢·65 shares

+$27INV $15 · WR 79.7%

Entry 65¢·1.5 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 58.8%

Entry 64¢·1.6 shares

+$0INV $1 · WR 62.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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