Geopolitics2 days left
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$6.9K
224 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 106 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?
6 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
33¢+17¢$2.3K4/4Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢33¢
$2.3K4/4
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
35¢−35¢$4.8K0/8Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25−35¢35¢
$4.8K0/8
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
23¢+10¢$2.0K2/4Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+10¢23¢
$2.0K2/4
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
3¢+17¢$1.4K1/4Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢3¢
$1.4K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs5 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+4 new YES$4+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $85 is directional: YES $73·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$75
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-31.9%)
Whales
5
J
johnashbough🥇
Entry 23¢·208.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $49 · WR 55.9%
V
vozomnil🥈
Entry 11¢·178.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 74.5%
R
romanew-crypto🥉
Entry 10¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 66.5%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 29¢·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.8%
T
Tiramia
Entry 43¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$507
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+4.9%)
Whales
5
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 87¢·310 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $271 · WR 85.9%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 93¢·180 shares
Invested
$167
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $167 · WR 69.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 91¢·45.1 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $41 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 72.1%
R
rabbit007◆Proven
Entry 60¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $12 · WR 61.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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