Geopolitics2 days left
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$2.3K
82 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?
6 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25←
33¢+17¢$2.3K4/4Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25←+17¢33¢
$2.3K4/4
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
35¢−35¢$4.8K0/8Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25−35¢35¢
$4.8K0/8
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
23¢+10¢$2.0K2/4Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+10¢23¢
$2.0K2/4
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
3¢+17¢$1.4K1/4Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢3¢
$1.4K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs5 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$89+4 new NO$115
$47 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $30 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $23·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+118.0%)
Whales
4
C
cloverpmq2🥇
Entry 34¢·35 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $12 · WR 59.9%
V
vozomnil🥈
Entry 8¢·105.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $9 · WR 74.5%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·29.5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 72.1%
T
Tiramia
Entry 27¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$358
Avg Win Rate
84.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$73(-20.5%)
Whales
5
G
glm4.1.fund🥇
Entry 83¢·310 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $256 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 86¢·65 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $56 · WR 79.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 92¢·45 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $41 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 72¢·5 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 64¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 69.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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