Geopolitics2 days left
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$2.0K
91 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 55 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?
6 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
33¢+17¢$2.3K4/4Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢33¢
$2.3K4/4
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
35¢−35¢$4.8K0/8Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25−35¢35¢
$4.8K0/8
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25←
23¢+10¢$2.0K2/4Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25←+10¢23¢
$2.0K2/4
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25
3¢+17¢$1.4K1/4Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25+17¢3¢
$1.4K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs2 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$3+4 new NO$10
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $41·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-2.4%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 17¢·121.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 72.1%
C
cloverpmq2🥈
Entry 78¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $20 · WR 59.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 17¢·112.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $19 · WR 79.6%
V
vozomnil
Entry 1¢·157.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.5%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $2 · WR 74.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$134
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$155(+115.3%)
Whales
2
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