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Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$309
31 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 19 traders

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 4, 2026?

6 MARKETS · $10.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs1 NO
86%14%
86% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$2+7 new NO$249
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $65 is directional: YES $65·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$78
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-23.4%)
Whales
6
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 17¢·267.4 shares
$-9INV $44 · WR 85.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 17¢·118.3 shares
$-4INV $20 · WR 72.1%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon🥉
Entry 37¢·34.5 shares
$-12INV $13 · WR 59.6%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 6¢·17.2 shares
+$1INV $1 · WR 59.5%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 0¢·20 shares
+$3INV $0 · WR 85.8%
J
JusduA
Entry 0¢·20 shares
+$3INV $0 · WR 71.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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