Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$485
29 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 25 traders
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 4, 2026?
6 MARKETS · $10.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4
1¢−1¢$7050/4Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4−1¢1¢
$7050/4
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6
3¢+30¢$4.3K1/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6+30¢3¢
$4.3K1/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8←
5¢−5¢$4850/3Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8←−5¢5¢
$4850/3
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0
1¢+49¢$3092/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0+49¢1¢
$3092/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs2 NO
75%25%
75% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%
+7 new YES$3+2 new NO$16
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $65 is directional: YES $60·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$64
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-68.6%)
Whales
6
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 17¢·245 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $41 · WR 85.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 17¢·98.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $16 · WR 72.1%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 10¢·24.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.6%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 17¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 85.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 10¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 10¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+58.4%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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