Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$4.3K
195 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 80 traders
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 4, 2026?
6 MARKETS · $10.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4
1¢−1¢$7050/4Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4−1¢1¢
$7050/4
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6←
3¢+30¢$4.3K1/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6←+30¢3¢
$4.3K1/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8
5¢−5¢$4850/3Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8−5¢5¢
$4850/3
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0
1¢+49¢$3092/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0+49¢1¢
$3092/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs5 NO
74%26%
74% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 78%· net of hedges
+49 new YES$1.8K+33 new NO$811
$876 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $164 is directional: YES $150·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$165
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$134(-81.2%)
Whales
14
O
Our-Sherry🥇
Entry 87¢·115.5 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $101 · WR 73.0%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash🥈
Entry 50¢·24.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 59.6%
S
Sdru🥉
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 75.6%
H
Humiliating-System
Entry 72¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 77.4%
A
Adept-Pencil
Entry 80¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 83.1%
Z
Zigzag-Standardization
Entry 67¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 73.3%
S
Shadowy-Gasp
Entry 77¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 82.7%
D
Doting-Hedge
Entry 82¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 87.6%
A
Adept-Mouser
Entry 64¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 72.3%
G
Glossy-Ephemera
Entry 59¢·8.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 67.2%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$181(+118.7%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 42¢·236.6 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $99 · WR 72.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian🥈
Entry 89¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 59.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever🥉
Entry 89¢·14.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 59.5%
P
Pure-Eyelinerhedged
Entry 107¢·11 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 56.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 16¢·63.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $10 · WR 85.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 286ms