Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$705
35 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 21 traders
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 4, 2026?
6 MARKETS · $10.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4←
1¢−1¢$7050/4Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4←−1¢1¢
$7050/4
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6
3¢+30¢$4.3K1/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6+30¢3¢
$4.3K1/2
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8
5¢−5¢$4850/3Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8−5¢5¢
$4850/3
Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0
1¢+49¢$3092/2Will the biggest earthquake on October 4, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0+49¢1¢
$3092/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs3 NO
63%38%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$4+0 new NO$0
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $97 is directional: YES $59·NO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$54(-90.4%)
Whales
5
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 17¢·245.4 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $41 · WR 85.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 17¢·98.3 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 72.1%
G
glm404.fund🥉
Entry 17¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 85.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 3¢·24.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 3¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$70
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$32(+45.4%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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