YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$63.5K
277 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 105 traders
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
6 MARKETS · $250.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
45¢—$00/0US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31—45¢
$00/0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
45¢—$00/0US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30—45¢
$00/0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31
48¢+10¢$59.4K25/18US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31+10¢48¢
$59.4K25/18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20
95¢−23¢$53.1K28/11US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20−23¢95¢
$53.1K28/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs12 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+50 new YES$31.9K+65 new NO$12.4K
$4.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 19 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales14 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $7.6K is directional: YES $5.4K·NO $2.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$10.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+20.9%)
Whales
18
L
laureman🥇
Entry 86¢·2,865.3 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $2.5K · WR 100.0%
P
pop🥈
Entry 87¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $2.2K · WR 57.9%
N
nchgbhy🥉
Entry 85¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $1.7K · WR 83.7%
T
Trained-Notion
Entry 86¢·1,500.1 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1.3K · WR 62.8%
D
DooBieZ
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$850
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $850 · WR 62.8%
B
browne
Entry 84¢·764.4 shares
Invested
$641
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $641 · WR 75.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 82¢·629.2 shares
Invested
$516
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $516 · WR 58.1%
L
Lolakis
Entry 17¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$2085
+$2085INV $510 · WR 62.0%
T
Te0n2
Entry 85¢·400 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $340 · WR 66.5%
D
dfupagain
Entry 86¢·200 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $172 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$221(-7.8%)
Whales
12
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 16¢·7,727.9 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $1.3K · WR 61.3%
T
Tenebrus7🥈
Entry 15¢·6,148 shares
Invested
$922
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $922 · WR 74.4%
M
meagainsttheworld🥉
Entry 14¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $280 · WR 67.9%
J
Jep-G
Entry 13¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $130 · WR 57.7%
J
justT
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $70 · WR 76.2%
7
0x7f6d3eb8...hedged
Entry 84¢·81.9 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $68 · WR 55.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 14¢·186.9 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $26 · WR 68.9%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 13¢·200 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 66.4%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 83¢·28.4 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$24
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $24 · WR 68.1%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 15¢·101 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
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