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Tech/AI12 days left

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.3K
71 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 41 traders

Next Claude Opus released on...?

13 MARKETS · $21.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$60+16 new NO$531
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $108 is directional: YES $50·NO $58
YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-95.2%)
Whales
4
S
Sweet-Cornmeal🥇
Entry 13¢·231.7 shares
$-30INV $31 · WR 68.0%
N
NoTeacher🥈
Entry 16¢·77.2 shares
$-12INV $12 · WR 56.9%
R
romanew-1-new🥉
Entry 5¢·125 shares
$-6INV $6 · WR 65.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 5¢·5 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 66.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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