Tech/AI4 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?
YES Price
16Ā¢
16% implied
NO Price
84Ā¢
84% implied
Volume
$1.7K
97 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 46 traders
Next Claude Opus released on...?
13 MARKETS Ā· $20.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026
0Ā¢+20Ā¢$6692/8Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026+20Ā¢0Ā¢
$6692/8
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026
0Ā¢+22Ā¢$1.1K2/7Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026+22Ā¢0Ā¢
$1.1K2/7
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026
53Ā¢ā38Ā¢$6.2K2/11Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026ā38Ā¢53Ā¢
$6.2K2/11
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026ā
16Ā¢+2Ā¢$1.7K2/9Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026ā+2Ā¢16Ā¢
$1.7K2/9
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026
0Ā¢+20Ā¢$1.1K2/8Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026+20Ā¢0Ā¢
$1.1K2/8
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026
11Ā¢+20Ā¢$2.1K5/11Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026+20Ā¢11Ā¢
$2.1K5/11
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026
2Ā¢+8Ā¢$7791/9Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026+8Ā¢2Ā¢
$7791/9
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026
0Ā¢+17Ā¢$5781/5Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026+17Ā¢0Ā¢
$5781/5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026
0Ā¢+14Ā¢$7761/6Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026+14Ā¢0Ā¢
$7761/6
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026
0Ā¢+14Ā¢$3451/6Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026+14Ā¢0Ā¢
$3451/6
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026
1Ā¢+26Ā¢$1.2K3/8Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026+26Ā¢1Ā¢
$1.2K3/8
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs13 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars Ā· 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%Ā· net of hedges
+15 new YES$201+23 new NO$741
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers ā left out of momentum
4 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā all $301 is directional: YES $297Ā·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$297
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$240(+81.0%)
Whales
5
B
balthazarš„
Entry 7¢·2,058.8 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $138 Ā· WR 71.9%
U
user089š„
Entry 15¢·659 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $99 Ā· WR 55.6%
M
molodoyyš„
Entry 17¢·346.2 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $59 Ā· WR 65.1%
P
piggyramen
Entry 21¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 Ā· WR 55.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 6¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 Ā· WR 87.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$454
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$297(+65.5%)
Whales
13
S
smallreceiptš„
Entry 50¢·270 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $135 Ā· WR 89.2%
L
Lucerysš„
Entry 50¢·250.6 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $126 Ā· WR 85.7%
M
melchior1248š„
Entry 50¢·197.2 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $99 Ā· WR 68.1%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 50¢·76.5 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $38 Ā· WR 83.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 Ā· WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·19.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 Ā· WR 78.8%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 84¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 Ā· WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 Ā· WR 79.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 Ā· WR 58.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 83¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
ā
āINV $4 Ā· WR 66.1%
Showing top 10 of 13
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 239ms