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Tech/AI6 days left

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14Ā¢
14% implied
NO Price
86Ā¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.3K
107 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 48 traders Ā· 1 on both sides

Next Claude Opus released on...?

14 MARKETS Ā· $13.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs13 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars Ā· 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%Ā· net of hedges
+20 new YES$120+17 new NO$334
$87 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers ā€” left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$2 of $236 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $199Ā·NO $34
YES Team
Total Invested
$272
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+39.5%)
Whales
6
B
balthazaršŸ„‡
Entry 7Ā¢Ā·2,280 shares
+$177INV $153 Ā· WR 71.9%
S
Started-with-20-USDšŸ„ˆhedged
Entry 101Ā¢Ā·70.6 sharesĀ·also $28 on NO
$-61INV $71 Ā· WR 58.8%
M
molodoyyšŸ„‰
Entry 18Ā¢Ā·228 shares
$-9INV $42 Ā· WR 65.1%
L
lightsout912
Entry 23Ā¢Ā·14.3 shares
$-1INV $3 Ā· WR 69.8%
L
Luceryshedged
Entry 6Ā¢Ā·19.8 sharesĀ·also $17 on NO
+$2INV $1 Ā· WR 85.7%
P
piggyramen
Entry 22Ā¢Ā·5 shares
$-0INV $1 Ā· WR 55.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 20% YES: the next Claude Opus model be releasedā€¦