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Tech/AI12 days left

Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
26Ā¢
26% implied
NO Price
74Ā¢
74% implied
Volume
$2.0K
71 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 38 traders

Next Claude Opus released on...?

14 MARKETS Ā· $12.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs11 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars Ā· 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%Ā· net of hedges
+9 new YES$171+13 new NO$284
$57 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers ā€” left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides ā€” all $31 is directional: YES $4Ā·NO $27
YES Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-12.3%)
Whales
3
C
CosmicCedaršŸ„‡
Entry 31Ā¢Ā·80 shares
$-4INV $25 Ā· WR 90.1%
N
NoTeacheršŸ„ˆ
Entry 18Ā¢Ā·22.6 shares
+$1INV $4 Ā· WR 56.9%
L
LucerysšŸ„‰
Entry 6Ā¢Ā·0.6 shares
+$0INV $0 Ā· WR 85.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 11% YES: there be no next Claude Opus modelā€¦