Politics2 days left
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$6.9K
389 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 110 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $37.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
3¢−3¢$3.3K0/15Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−3¢3¢
$3.3K0/15
Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+6¢$2.9K1/14Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+6¢1¢
$2.9K1/14
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
4¢+17¢$5.4K5/19Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+17¢4¢
$5.4K5/19
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs23 NO
12%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$364+29 new NO$1.5K
$91 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $65 is directional: YES $61·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-31.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$656(+43.9%)
Whales
23
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 51¢·693.5 shares
Invested
$352
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$199
+$199INV $352 · WR 86.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 61¢·260.1 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $158 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 53¢·266.6 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $142 · WR 79.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 59¢·234 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $138 · WR 89.3%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·201 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $101 · WR 59.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·194 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $97 · WR 85.6%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 56¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $80 · WR 85.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 76¢·81.2 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $62 · WR 59.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 76¢·78.6 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $60 · WR 88.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $40 · WR 88.7%
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