Politics2 days left
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$5.4K
308 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 108 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $37.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
3¢−3¢$3.3K0/15Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election−3¢3¢
$3.3K0/15
Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+6¢$2.9K1/14Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+6¢1¢
$2.9K1/14
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
4¢+17¢$5.4K5/19Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←+17¢4¢
$5.4K5/19
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs27 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$158+21 new NO$1.5K
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $528 is directional: YES $5·NO $522YES Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-57.0%)
Whales
5
7
7Ouros🥇hedged
Entry 80¢·41.6 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $33 · WR 65.7%
B
BiDiFakePolls🥈
Entry 4¢·615.2 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $23 · WR 59.7%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 18¢·41 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 55.2%
F
Far-Off-Consent
Entry 18¢·29.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 61.5%
D
DerDon
Entry 3¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
80.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+70.9%)
Whales
27
R
RenanPresidente.🥇
Entry 84¢·478.3 shares
Invested
$401
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $401 · WR 77.3%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 34¢·497.9 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$310
+$310INV $168 · WR 86.9%
6
65765757🥉
Entry 86¢·141.2 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $121 · WR 79.0%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 50¢·201 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $101 · WR 59.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·188 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $94 · WR 88.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $90 · WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 79¢·93.4 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $74 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 33¢·160 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $52 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $50 · WR 85.9%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $50 · WR 85.8%
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