Politics2 days left
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.3K
188 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 61 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
5 MARKETS · $37.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←
3¢−3¢$3.3K0/15Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election←−3¢3¢
$3.3K0/15
Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+6¢$2.9K1/14Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+6¢1¢
$2.9K1/14
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
4¢+17¢$5.4K5/19Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+17¢4¢
$5.4K5/19
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs21 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$23+18 new NO$1.4K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $169 is directional: YES $0·NO $169YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+98.8%)
Whales
21
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 47¢·707.4 shares
Invested
$331
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$358
+$358INV $331 · WR 86.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 50¢·645.7 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$306
+$306INV $323 · WR 79.3%
C
Chims🥉
Entry 98¢·161.4 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $158 · WR 85.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 50¢·292.4 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $146 · WR 59.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·248 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $124 · WR 89.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $100 · WR 88.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 62¢·160 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $99 · WR 89.0%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 50¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $71 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $50 · WR 88.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 85.6%
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